Cases Cases Cases

  

 

     (charts created before seasonal "second wave")

    The following graph is indicative of the phenomena the world is facing.

    A complete disconnection of cases and deaths. How could this be?

    This site has already covered the problems currently plaguing PCR testing, which no doubt play a huge role.

    However, this doesn't necessarily mean we can't analyze trends. Rather, we can simply make a mental note that the number of "cases" confirmed on any given day may need to be decreased by upwards of 90%, depending on how oversensitive the tests are. We must remember: the majority of these "cases" are by not infectious or sick, and most who are never even know they've contracted the virus.

    While case-death disconnection, it is also occurring in individual countries.

        The United States is no different.

    When U.S. daily case/death graphs are overlaid, it looks like this:

    Clearly, something is very wrong with the panicky way we interpret "case" numbers. 

    While "cases" ought to be a function of actual infections, they are also a function of another equally obvious metric: testing.

    Thus, any daily case chart must be adjusted for the amount of tests being performed. Once adjusted, our graph looks far less scary.

    Here's a more detailed graph of the same observation:

    Despite all the evidence, the fact free fearmongering continues...

    Unfortunately, this vicious cycle isn't even an exaggeration.

    How in the world did we end up here? Shouldn't it be obvious to public officials that objective metrics like hospitalizations/deaths are far more meaningful than dubious metrics like "cases"?

    Here's a broad overview of how the COVID-19 narrative has shifted.

            1. "Flatten the curve! Slow the spread to ensure hospitals aren't overwhelmed!" 

                    >doomer hospital capacity predictions fail to materialize

                    >goalposts moved

            2. "Stay locked down! We want to prevent deaths!"

                    >doomers forget lockdowns were never meant to decrease net deaths

                    >doomers facilitate untold destruction and misery via extended lockdowns

                    >doomer death & IFR predictions fail to materialize

                    >end of seasons death curve reached - doomers require new rationalization for continued                          government action

                    >goalposts moved

            3. "Cases cases cases!" < We are here